The impact of import surges in food security in China

 Network HC food industry a company forecast, 2011/12, China's wheat, corn, rice imports in the ratio of total consumption 1.7%, 1.1%, 0.4%. The domestic industry are concerned that, if the increased imports of grain, corn, wheat, soybeans and other crops probably will be followed the steps in the future can only look to the international prices of glances, food security is directly threatened.

past two years, China's grain imports by leaps and bounds, to which both domestic and foreign analysts in some confusion. Foreign economists have repeatedly warned that if China further increases in food imports, international prices will be brought to new heights. The domestic industry is worried that if the increasing imports of grain, corn, wheat, soybeans and other crops probably will be followed the steps in the future can only look to the international prices of glances, food security is directly threatened.

real secure food security

2010, the stood frozen rain, snow, drought, floods and other natural disasters, China's grain still achieve straight seven harvests, production reached 10,928 billion kilograms, a record high.

China's total grain output this year by, consumption, ending stocks, and many other forecasting and analysis, industry analysts consider that the total supply of grain in 2011 will not be a gap. Nie Zhenbang

Secretary of State Grain Administration in a media interview earlier spoke of China's current food security is completely guaranteed. Another bumper harvest of grain in 2010, a record high grain output, consumption continues to grow steadily, total production and demand basically in balance. Sub-varieties, wheat, rice production is greater than demand, tight supply and demand of rice, corn production is greater than the required pattern with the development of aquaculture and processing industries have changed, but overall still meet the demand.

forecast, according to industry data, 2011/12, approximately 114 million tons of wheat production, imports about 200 million tons, about 54 million tons beginning stocks, total domestic supply about 1.7 million tons of domestic wheat consumption is about 115 million tons, ending stocks for the period of about 55 million tons of food safety factor of 47.97 percent, the highest level to 4 years.

the same year, China's corn production expected to be approximately 175 million tons, imports about 200 million tons, about 68.51 million tons beginning stocks, total domestic supply of about 246 million tons, the domestic The total demand of about 174 million tonnes of wheat, the period ending stocks of about 71,760,000 tons, stock consumption ratio was 41.3%, close to the highest level in 4 years.

rice, the 2011/12 expected to be approximately 199 million tons of production, imports about 69 million tons, beginning stocks of about 69,750,000 tons, about 269 million tons of total domestic supply , domestic wheat consumption is about 1.95 million tons, ending stocks for the period of about 73.68 million tons, stock consumption ratio was 38.1%, an increase of 2 percentage points.

NDRC figures show that China's ratio of total consumption of food stocks to 40%, far higher than the internationally accepted 17% to 18% of the safety level of supply of the domestic market can be fully guaranteed .

Eastern Agricultural Advisory Co., Ltd. forecasts Iger, 2011/12, wheat, corn, rice imports in the ratio of total consumption was 1.7%, 1.1%, 0.4%.

analysts believe that, from the ratio of point of view, the current food grain imports in China has little impact on supply, it does not appear this year, China food gap, the present situation, food imports will not threaten China's food security.

But it is worth noting that, in recent years, with China's national economy continued to improve, increasing the level of industrialization, people gradually change the diet, meat, eggs, milk consumption increased increased, the consumption of food and feed consumption in the industrial areas of the two large increments.